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News articleSeeking Alpha· July 23, 2026

Origin Bancorp anticipates high single-digit net interest income growth as it targets at least 1.15% ROA in Q4

View original at seekingalpha.com

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  • In Q1 2026, ROA was 1.11%, and the company was on pace to achieve its target run rate by year-end.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 EPS was the strongest quarterly earnings performance since Q4 of 2021.

    60% confidence
  • Maintaining run rate ROA expectation of at least 1.15% in Q4 and pretax pre-provision run rate ROA in excess of 1.72%, tracking ahead of these targets.

    60% confidence
  • The company removed any Fed rate actions from its forecast and expects margin to remain relatively flat.

    60% confidence
  • Since April 1, the company added 12 experienced bankers as part of a targeted lift-out strategy, and expanded into Birmingham, Alabama.

    60% confidence
  • The Argent fees outlook for the year remains unchanged, in the $5 million to $6 million range.

    60% confidence
  • More than 50% of loan growth this year has been C&I; new loans are coming in at about 6.4%; only $12 million of loan growth came from bankers hired in 2026.

    60% confidence
  • The Board increased the quarterly dividend from $0.15 to $0.25.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 diluted EPS was $1.09; net interest margin expanded 21 basis points to 3.92%, exceeding expectations; Board increased buyback authorization by $100 million to $121.6 million remaining.

    60% confidence
  • Net interest income rose 5.7% sequentially to $92.2 million despite a 1% decline in average earning assets, driven by improved loan yields and lower deposit costs.

    60% confidence
  • Most recent new deposit costs are about 2.7%; the company opened over 1,800 new deposit accounts in June versus right under 1,000 a year earlier.

    60% confidence
  • Anticipates net interest income growth in the high single digits for both the full year and Q4 over Q4; full year noninterest income growth low to mid-single digits.

    60% confidence
  • Origin Bancorp reported strong net income, ROA and ROE results in the second quarter and Optimize Origin has become the way the company operates.

    60% confidence
  • Noninterest-bearing deposit growth is extremely sticky.

    60% confidence
  • Liquidity is the real driver of NIM sensitivity, with average cash balances declining about $400 million during the quarter.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 tangible book value grew to $36.37, TCE ratio ended at 11.1%, and the company repurchased 217,034 shares at an average price of $46.60.

    60% confidence
  • Noninterest expense was $64.4 million in Q2 excluding $0.1 million in net notable-item expense; expects mid-single-digit expense growth going forward.

    60% confidence
  • Loan and deposit growth is targeted at mid- to high single digits for the year, tracking toward the higher end.

    60% confidence
  • Repurchase pace depends on valuation: below 1.5x tangible book, the buyback math still works; above 1.5x it becomes more discretionary.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 included about 3 basis points of benefit from interest reversal/recovery on nonaccrual loans; margin modeled as essentially flat going forward.

    60% confidence
  • The company is seeing pricing pressure from competitors on both loans and deposits, with competitors offering nonrecourse terms more regularly.

    60% confidence
  • Loans grew 2.7% sequentially (1.9% excluding mortgage warehouse); total deposits declined 0.6% on seasonal trends.

    60% confidence
  • The company hired Brad Waldhoff as Chief Technology and Innovation Officer.

    60% confidence
  • Noninterest income was $15.4 million in Q2, decreasing due to normal seasonality in the insurance business.

    60% confidence
  • Net income totaled $33.8 million with negligible notable items and no impact to EPS.

    60% confidence
  • Growth discipline is about the margin impact of growth, not growth for its own sake.

    60% confidence
  • Origin Bancorp is now over the $10 billion asset threshold, and the Durbin Amendment will impact the company midyear next year in the $4 million to $4.5 million range.

    60% confidence
  • In the prior quarter, the outlook included 25 basis point Fed rate cuts in July and December.

    60% confidence
  • Net charge-offs for the quarter were only $454,000; nonperforming assets decreased $9 million to 0.98% of loans; classified assets decreased to 1.79% from 1.97%.

    60% confidence
  • Noninterest-bearing deposits increased nearly $200 million during the quarter and are now 26% of total deposits.

    60% confidence

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