Stocks Settle Lower on Iran War Anxiety
View original at nasdaq.comStocks Settle Lower on Iran War Anxiety The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Tuesday closed down -0.94%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.83%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -1.09%…
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Real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to impact of six-week full halt to tanker traffic in Strait of Hormuz
80% confidenceUS Navy will begin escorting tankers through Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible if necessary
80% confidenceCombat operations against Iran could last for weeks until all objectives completed
80% confidenceS&P 500 earnings growth expected to climb 8.4% in Q4, marking tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth
80% confidenceIran will set fire to any ship attempting to pass through Strait of Hormuz
80% confidenceOrdered US Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance and guarantees for maritime trade through Gulf at reasonable price
80% confidenceAdditional Fed interest rate cuts will be warranted if inflation slows further once most of tariff impact has passed
80% confidenceInflation has been above Fed's objective for nearly five years, so no room to be complacent
80% confidenceExcluding Magnificent Seven megacap tech stocks, Q4 earnings expected to increase 4.6%
80% confidence
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