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Source document· June 1, 2026

The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now

View original at finance.yahoo.com
The S&P 500 just flashed a rare warning signal last seen in dot-com bubble. Crashproof your wealth now Moneywise and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below…
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  • The S&P 500 CAPE ratio has recently climbed to roughly 41.33, a level reached only twice in the past century.

    60% confidence
  • Higher CAPE ratios have historically been associated with lower long-term stock market returns.

    60% confidence
  • A current CAPE ratio of 41.33 means investors are paying roughly $41.33 for every $1 of inflation-adjusted earnings generated over the previous 10 years.

    60% confidence
  • The CAPE ratio is best used as a risk management tool for assessing portfolio diversification rather than as a market-timing tool.

    60% confidence
  • Since 1871, Shiller's CAPE ratio has exceeded 24 on only six occasions, with the first five occurring immediately prior to major market downturns.

    60% confidence
  • A market crash or recession is not necessarily imminent despite the elevated CAPE ratio.

    60% confidence
  • The CAPE ratio has not been a reliable indicator of when exactly a market downturn will begin.

    60% confidence